2017 Golden Globe Predictions

Here we go! Truth be told, I don't feel terribly confident about most of these - the exceptions being Best Director, Best Animated Feature and Best Original Song, with the only true shoo-in of the evening landing in that middle category, for the unstoppable Coco.

My hunch is next Sunday will prove a strong evening for both The Shape of Water and Lady Bird, knocking the likes of The Post, Three Billboards and Get Out down a few rungs. It is hardly inconceivable, however, to think the Hollywood Foreign Press Association could fall for The Post and/or even go with Get Out in Musical/Comedy Picture, despite that one missing in both Director and Screenplay.

Will Oscar front-runner Gary Oldman's past jabs at the Globes damage his chances here? I suspect so but then again, the HFPA sure does like to try predicting the Oscar winners (and Oldman will remain the Oscar front-runner, albeit a softer one, even if he does lose here). 

Both Lead Actress categories are legit jump balls here, ditto Supporting Actress, where Allison Janney hopes to put a dent in Laurie Metcalf's front-runner status. And speaking of tough categories to forecast, there's Best Screenplay, where Globe favorite Aaron Sorkin could totally score another Steve Jobs-level upset with Molly's Game.

Oh, and don't you dare underestimate that dark horse Christopher Plummer down in Supporting Actor, especially with Oscar front-runner Willem Dafoe's film evidently not much resonating with the HFPA.

All that said, check out my predictions below, ranked from most to least likely to prevail. And of course, feel free to chime in with your own two cents as well!

Best Motion Picture – Drama:

1. The Shape of Water
2. The Post
3. Call Me By Your Name
4. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
5. Dunkirk

Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy:

1. Lady Bird
2. Get Out
3. The Disaster Artist
4. I, Tonya
5. The Greatest Showman

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama:

1. Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
2. Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
3. Tom Hanks, The Post
4. Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
5. Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama:

1. Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
2. Meryl Streep, The Post
3. Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
4. Jessica Chastain, Molly's Game
5. Michelle Williams, All the Money in the World

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy:

1. James Franco, The Disaster Artist
2. Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
3. Hugh Jackman, The Greatest Showman
4. Steve Carell, Battle of the Sexes
5. Ansel Elgort, Baby Driver

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy:

1. Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
2. Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
3. Judi Dench, Victoria & Abdul
4. Emma Stone, Battle of the Sexes
5. Helen Mirren, The Leisure Seeker

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture:

1. Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
2. Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
3. Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
4. Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name
5. Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture:

1. Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
2. Allison Janney, I, Tonya
3. Hong Chau, Downsizing
4. Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
5. Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

Best Director – Motion Picture:

1. Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
2. Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
3. Steven Spielberg, The Post
4. Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
5. Ridley Scott, All the Money in the World

Best Screenplay:

1. Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
2. Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
3. Aaron Sorkin, Molly's Game
4. Liz Hannah and Josh Singer, The Post
5. Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water

Best Motion Picture – Foreign Language:

1. A Fantastic Woman
2. In the Fade
3. First They Killed My Father
4. The Square
5. Loveless

Best Motion Picture – Animated:

1. Coco
2. Loving Vincent
3. The Breadwinner
4. Ferdinand
5. The Boss Baby

Best Original Song – Motion Picture:

1. "Remember Me," Coco
2. "This Is Me," The Greatest Showman
3. "Mighty River," Mudbound
4. "The Star," The Star
5. "Home," Ferdinand

Best Original Score – Motion Picture:

1. Alexandre Desplat, The Shape of Water
2. Jonny Greenwood, Phantom Thread
3. Hans Zimmer, Dunkirk
4. John Williams, The Post
5. Carter Burwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri