2017 SAG Awards Nomination Predictions

Oh hell yes! The Screen Actors Guild Awards are never easy to predict, at least in nominations, which is why I so enjoy them. This is, after all, the guild that recognized the likes of Hank Azaria in The Birdcage, Stockard Channing in Smoke, Cloris Leachman in Spanglish, Gena Rowlands in Unhook the Stars and Gwen Verdon in Marvin's Room, which virtually no other precursor had them on their radar.

Odds are, there will be at least one eyebrow-raising nominee on SAG nominations morning. (Last year, it was Emily Blunt in The Girl on the Train that left awards season junkies giggling.) Could it be living legends Jane Fonda and/or Robert Redford in Our Souls at Night? How about Debra Winger in The Lovers? Or perhaps even a posthumous nod for Carrie Fisher in Star Wars: The Last Jedi or Harry Dean Stanton in Lucky? There are plenty of obscure possibilities here.

With that said, here's what I'm thinking goes down, from most to least likely to be nominated. Feel free, of course, to comment with your own predictions too!

Best Ensemble

1. The Post
2. Lady Bird
3. Call Me By Your Name
4. Mudbound
5. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
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6. Get Out
7. The Shape of Water
8. Dunkirk
9. The Florida Project
10. Murder on the Orient Express

Best Lead Actor

1. Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
2. Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
3. Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
4. Tom Hanks, The Post
5. James Franco, The Disaster Artist
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6. Jake Gyllenhaal, Stronger
7. Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
8. Jacob Tremblay, Wonder
9. Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.
10. Harry Dean Stanton, Lucky

Best Lead Actress

1. Meryl Streep, The Post
2. Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
3. Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
4. Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
5. Judi Dench, Victoria & Abdul
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6. Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
7. Jessica Chastain, Molly's Game
8. Annette Bening, Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool
9. Brooklynn Prince, The Florida Project
10. Emma Stone, Battle of the Sexes

Best Supporting Actor

1. Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
2. Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
3. Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me By Your Name
4. Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name
5. Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
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6. Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
7. Michael Shannon, The Shape of Water
8. Jason Mitchell, Mudbound
9. Patrick Stewart, Logan
10. Idris Elba, Molly's Game

Best Supporting Actress

1. Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
2. Allison Janney, I, Tonya
3. Holly Hunter, The Big Sick
4. Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water
5. Julia Roberts, Wonder
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6. Tiffany Haddish, Girls Trip
7. Catherine Keener, Get Out
8. Lois Smith, Marjorie Prime
9. Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
10. Carrie Fisher, Star Wars: The Last Jedi